Sunday, March 7, 2010

Brag

Go Hurt Locker. If you scroll down to October 17, i forewarned you about its awesomeness.

Quick note on health care. First of all, I'm am sick of the right just arguing for the hell of it. I love my father but it drives me crazy when republicans complain about change when they a) acknowledge and admit there's something wrong with something , b) complain that the leadership won't do anything about it but c) won't suggest a reasonable solution

I don't know that much about the health care but I do know this; lets assume American health care costs X. 20% is paid out of pocket, 50% by private insurance, 30% my the government (Medicare, Medicaid)

Lets assume that the administrative overhead costs of running Medicare/Medicaid are 20% of our FICA contributions. Now, since private insurance is for-profit, its fair to say that that for every dollar put in, 60% actually goes to health care costs, and the other 40% goes to compensation for admin, sales, executive, marketing, etc. Of course the out of pocket goes 100% to health care costs.

So what if we took all the revenue private insurance is generating and put in in the Medicare/Medicaid pool? Would you rather donate money to a charity that pays 50 cents on the dollar to the recipients or 80% on the dollar if the output of the charity is exactly the same?

First, the total percentage of admin costs as a percentage of the pool would drop dramatically if Medicare/Medicaid just became universal health care. The infrastructure has already been established (the SSA, Medicare, etc.). It would just handle more money. Every American is entitled to benefits after the age of 65 (or in some cases younger). We're already in the system; its just a question of allocation.

As the government is ostensibly not for profit, insurance profits and worker compensation would be eliminated for the pool. Also, the moral hazard insurance companies face of essentially losing money when they pay out a claim would be eliminated. Also, the larger the pool to share risk, the less each plan costs.

So the counterargument is that our FICA deduction would be higher? People forget that most people who have private insurance have thier employers pay half of their contribution. If that "payroll" tax was eliminated companies would just have more money to pay their employees.

Friday, January 29, 2010

Quick- hit thought (Peter King fan?)

Im just going to put it out there: If I'm trying to jerk off watching internet porn, I'll go to YouJizz or Redtube, see whats most appealing for the day, almost like a Korean fish market, go at it, and the go back and look to see how many stars it got. 5 stars, I know I have good flash jerk-off judgement. Anything less than 4.5 stars, I start to question if I'm a pervert.

I promise I'll put something up more substantial later but I have to think other people do this.

Also, on a 1-10 liberal scale, from 1 being Buddha and 10 being Oral Roberts, I'm about a 2 when it comes to moral relativism and freedom to have access to competing ideas. That being said, who cares if James Dobson pays to put Tebow in an abortion ad during the Superbowl. If anything, I encourage it. The more they put firmly backed Christian values on T.V, the less the fundamentalists can make the argument that content-based censorship can or should exist in this country. You can't back Stern and Carlin and porn and then call foul when James Dobson does this shit.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Couple of hand histories

Last 6 busts from tourneys, all as a 4-1 favorite (except last one which was a 8ob game). I've been running like this for a while now. I wouldn't be nearly as jaded if people didn't play their hands so incredibly poorly with no concept of what future equity they should expect (particularly the set against single card flush draw hand). My comments with each hand below:

Update: Next tourney (LOL)

PokerStars Game #36218794735: Tournament #218555507, $3.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level III (25/50) - 2009/12/04 0:09:49 ET
Table '218555507 1' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: ms_toots (1700 in chips)
Seat 3: xTATARINx (2350 in chips)
Seat 4: gabo2584 (680 in chips)
Seat 5: Ratatyi1 (3575 in chips)
Seat 6: Birdie505 (825 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 8: Niarlanhotep (2265 in chips)
Seat 9: technicor (2105 in chips)
Ratatyi1: posts small blind 25
Birdie505: posts big blind 50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to technicor [5s 5c]
Niarlanhotep: folds
technicor: calls 50
ms_toots: folds
xTATARINx: calls 50
gabo2584: calls 50
Ratatyi1: raises 50 to 100
Birdie505: folds
technicor: calls 50
xTATARINx: calls 50
gabo2584: calls 50
*** FLOP *** [5h Ad 6d]
Ratatyi1: bets 50
technicor: calls 50
xTATARINx: calls 50
gabo2584: folds
*** TURN *** [5h Ad 6d] [Ts]
Ratatyi1: bets 50
technicor: raises 150 to 200
xTATARINx: calls 200
Ratatyi1: calls 150
*** RIVER *** [5h Ad 6d Ts] [Jc]
Ratatyi1: bets 50
technicor: raises 450 to 500
xTATARINx: raises 1500 to 2000 and is all-in
Ratatyi1: folds
technicor: calls 1255 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (245) returned to xTATARINx
*** SHOW DOWN ***
xTATARINx: shows [6h 6s] (three of a kind, Sixes)
technicor: shows [5s 5c] (three of a kind, Fives)
xTATARINx collected 4760 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4760 | Rake 0
Board [5h Ad 6d Ts Jc]
Seat 1: ms_toots folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: xTATARINx showed [6h 6s] and won (4760) with three of a kind, Sixes
Seat 4: gabo2584 (button) folded on the Flop
Seat 5: Ratatyi1 (small blind) folded on the River
Seat 6: Birdie505 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 8: Niarlanhotep folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: technicor showed [5s 5c] and lost with three of a kind, Fives

Updated: Just stone cold decked

PokerStars Game #36211997594: Tournament #218508888, $3.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (100/200) - 2009/12/03 20:15:42 ET
Table '218508888 1' 10-max Seat #10 is the button
Seat 1: HU'S UR DADY (2690 in chips)
Seat 2: KRCMDC (2715 in chips)
Seat 3: jony_824 (2000 in chips)
Seat 5: prdreamdaddy (2525 in chips)
Seat 6: clobabe (3870 in chips)
Seat 10: technicor (1200 in chips)
HU'S UR DADY: posts small blind 100
KRCMDC: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to technicor [Ts Ac]
jony_824: folds
prdreamdaddy: raises 400 to 600
clobabe: folds
technicor: raises 600 to 1200 and is all-in
HU'S UR DADY: folds
KRCMDC: folds
prdreamdaddy: calls 600
*** FLOP *** [2s 4s 3s]
*** TURN *** [2s 4s 3s] [Kh]
*** RIVER *** [2s 4s 3s Kh] [Th]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
prdreamdaddy: shows [Kd Tc] (two pair, Kings and Tens)
technicor: shows [Ts Ac] (a pair of Tens)
prdreamdaddy collected 2700 from pot

K 10 off in middle position w/ middle chip stack and short stacks in front of you is a recipe for getting exactly what he deserved but didn't get. After that flop he was 6% since his Ks was dead.

PokerStars Game #36212039235: Tournament #218508863, $3.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (100/200) - 2009/12/03 20:16:50 ET
Table '218508863 1' 10-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 2: technicor (2420 in chips)
Seat 3: SPLIFFBKLYN (4735 in chips)
Seat 7: tc2060 (2710 in chips)
Seat 8: Ashiran (1390 in chips)
Seat 9: Tirexer (1260 in chips)
Seat 10: gfluffyboy (2485 in chips)
gfluffyboy: posts small blind 100
technicor: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to technicor [Tc 8h]
SPLIFFBKLYN: folds
tc2060: folds
Ashiran: folds
Tirexer: folds
gfluffyboy: calls 100
technicor: checks
*** FLOP *** [9d 8d 7h]
gfluffyboy: checks
technicor: bets 200
gfluffyboy: raises 600 to 800
technicor: raises 1420 to 2220 and is all-in
gfluffyboy: calls 1420
*** TURN *** [9d 8d 7h] [7c]
*** RIVER *** [9d 8d 7h 7c] [5h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
gfluffyboy: shows [8s 6s] (a straight, Five to Nine)
technicor: shows [Tc 8h] (two pair, Eights and Sevens)
gfluffyboy collected 4840 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4840 | Rake 0
Board [9d 8d 7h 7c 5h]
Seat 2: technicor (big blind) showed [Tc 8h] and lost with two pair, Eights and Sevens
Seat 3: SPLIFFBKLYN folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: tc2060 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: Ashiran folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: Tirexer (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: gfluffyboy (small blind) showed [8s 6s] and won (4840) with a straight, Five to Nine

We have the same stack. When I 3 bet he has to think that his middle pair weak kicker is no good and that he is a 70 % loser at best. He was actually a 76% loser.

PokerStars Game #36197308105: Tournament #218406163, $3.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (100/200) - 2009/12/03 14:41:38 ET
Table '218406163 1' 10-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: time2leave (980 in chips)
Seat 2: cheffer90210 (2270 in chips)
Seat 3: Majal (910 in chips)
Seat 4: Jasp Carrott (1045 in chips)
Seat 5: technicor (1745 in chips)
Seat 6: Magic Mycoze (1545 in chips)
Seat 7: maggie130 (3060 in chips)
Seat 8: Slashbtt (1035 in chips)
Seat 10: Sir CC 21 (2410 in chips)
Jasp Carrott: posts small blind 100
technicor: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to technicor [Js Jh]
Magic Mycoze: folds
maggie130: folds
Slashbtt: folds
Sir CC 21: calls 200
time2leave: folds
cheffer90210: folds
Majal: raises 710 to 910 and is all-in
Jasp Carrott: folds
technicor: raises 835 to 1745 and is all-in
Sir CC 21: folds
Uncalled bet (835) returned to technicor
*** FLOP *** [9d Qc Td]
*** TURN *** [9d Qc Td] [Jd]
*** RIVER *** [9d Qc Td Jd] [4h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
technicor: shows [Js Jh] (three of a kind, Jacks)
Majal: shows [Tc Kh] (a straight, Nine to King)
Majal collected 2120 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 2120 | Rake 0
Board [9d Qc Td Jd 4h]
Seat 1: time2leave folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: cheffer90210 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Majal (button) showed [Tc Kh] and won (2120) with a straight, Nine to King
Seat 4: Jasp Carrott (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: technicor (big blind) showed [Js Jh] and lost with three of a kind, Jacks
Seat 6: Magic Mycoze folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: maggie130 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: Slashbtt folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: Sir CC 21 folded before Flop

Not a terrible play but spiking the set on the turn to make his straight? UHH

*********** # 111 **************
PokerStars Game #36197173892: Tournament #218406211, $3.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2009/12/03 14:38:41 ET
Table '218406211 1' 10-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 2: kp56103 (2740 in chips)
Seat 3: ymislumis (6405 in chips)
Seat 5: Chafer1 (855 in chips)
Seat 8: kgb-pic (3825 in chips)
Seat 9: technicor (1175 in chips)
kgb-pic: posts small blind 75
technicor: posts big blind 150
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to technicor [Qd Ks]
kp56103: calls 150
ymislumis: raises 300 to 450
Chafer1: folds
kgb-pic: folds
technicor: raises 725 to 1175 and is all-in
kp56103: folds
ymislumis: calls 725
*** FLOP *** [6h Ad 9s]
*** TURN *** [6h Ad 9s] [Ts]
*** RIVER *** [6h Ad 9s Ts] [5c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
technicor: shows [Qd Ks] (high card Ace)
ymislumis: shows [Tc Qh] (a pair of Tens)
ymislumis collected 2575 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 2575 | Rake 0
Board [6h Ad 9s Ts 5c]
Seat 2: kp56103 folded before Flop
Seat 3: ymislumis showed [Tc Qh] and won (2575) with a pair of Tens
Seat 5: Chafer1 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: kgb-pic (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 9: technicor (big blind) showed [Qd Ks] and lost with high card Ace

I don't care if you have 100,000 chips, you can't call off k 10 offsuit to a medium stack with a tight image. Ever. You'll never ever be ahead.

*********** # 140 **************
PokerStars Game #36196670210: Tournament #218406894, $3.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level III (25/50) - 2009/12/03 14:27:43 ET
Table '218406894 1' 10-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: technicor (1305 in chips)
Seat 2: binwin2008 (1385 in chips)
Seat 3: Philly856 (1860 in chips)
Seat 4: glasauge2010 (1890 in chips)
Seat 5: Bob5674 (3315 in chips)
Seat 6: feri22 (1100 in chips)
Seat 7: nomad818 (1465 in chips)
Seat 8: MrTradeshow (1225 in chips)
Seat 10: MTU Rounder (1455 in chips)
Bob5674: posts small blind 25
feri22: posts big blind 50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to technicor [7c 7d]
nomad818: folds
MrTradeshow: raises 100 to 150
MTU Rounder: folds
technicor: calls 150
binwin2008: calls 150
Philly856: calls 150
glasauge2010: folds
Bob5674: folds
feri22: folds
*** FLOP *** [9h 7h 6h]
MrTradeshow: bets 150
technicor: raises 1005 to 1155 and is all-in
binwin2008: calls 1155
Philly856: folds
MrTradeshow: calls 925 and is all-in
*** TURN *** [9h 7h 6h] [Jd]
*** RIVER *** [9h 7h 6h Jd] [Th]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
technicor: shows [7c 7d] (three of a kind, Sevens)
binwin2008: shows [Ah Qc] (a flush, Ace high)
binwin2008 collected 160 from side pot
MrTradeshow: shows [9c Ac] (a pair of Nines)
binwin2008 collected 3900 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4060 Main pot 3900. Side pot 160. | Rake 0
Board [9h 7h 6h Jd Th]
Seat 1: technicor showed [7c 7d] and lost with three of a kind, Sevens
Seat 2: binwin2008 showed [Ah Qc] and won (4060) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 3: Philly856 folded on the Flop
Seat 4: glasauge2010 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Bob5674 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: feri22 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: nomad818 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: MrTradeshow showed [9c Ac] and lost with a pair of Nines
Seat 10: MTU Rounder folded before Flop (didn't bet)

This pisses me off to all hell. On paper the guy has odds. But contextually, facing a bet, an all-in raise, an all-in call, you can deduce at least somebody has either a flush or set and the other has a straight or straight draw w/ heart draw. The point is there are probably two dead hearts in the other hands all-in. With three on the board and your one, there's 7 ideally left, putting you at 28%, notwithstanding redraws if the board pairs, which actually brings him down to 23%. Why risk your whole tournament as a less than 4-1 dog with plenty of time and chips left? Did you really think your A or Q were legit redraws against that board?

*********** # 186 **************
PokerStars Game #36174912490: Tournament #218251209, $3.00+$0.40 USD Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2009/12/03 0:18:01 ET
Table '218251209 1' 10-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: technicor (1100 in chips)
Seat 2: MARISHI (4048 in chips)
Seat 5: alexsolis420 (2890 in chips)
Seat 6: mojobone69 (313 in chips)
Seat 7: EL CAP 2006 (575 in chips)
Seat 8: muff1n (2674 in chips)
Seat 10: kala5583 (3400 in chips)
kala5583: posts small blind 75
technicor: posts big blind 150
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to technicor [Th Kd 6s 8s]
MARISHI: folds
alexsolis420: folds
mojobone69: raises 163 to 313 and is all-in
EL CAP 2006: folds
muff1n: folds
kala5583: calls 238
technicor: calls 163
*** FLOP *** [4h 8d Kh]
kala5583: checks
technicor: bets 787 and is all-in
kala5583: calls 787
*** TURN *** [4h 8d Kh] [Jc]
*** RIVER *** [4h 8d Kh Jc] [Ac]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
kala5583: shows [7s Ks 5h Ad] (HI: two pair, Aces and Kings; LO: 8,7,5,4,A)
technicor: shows [Th Kd 6s 8s] (HI: two pair, Kings and Eights)
kala5583 collected 787 from side pot
kala5583 collected 787 from side pot
mojobone69: shows [7d 6d 5d 3s] (HI: high card Ace; LO: 8,5,4,3,A)
kala5583 collected 470 from main pot
mojobone69 collected 469 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 2513 Main pot 939. Side pot 1574. | Rake 0
Board [4h 8d Kh Jc Ac]
Seat 1: technicor (big blind) showed [Th Kd 6s 8s] and lost with HI: two pair, Kings and Eights
Seat 2: MARISHI folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: alexsolis420 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: mojobone69 showed [7d 6d 5d 3s] and won (469) with HI: high card Ace; LO: 8,5,4,3,A
Seat 7: EL CAP 2006 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: muff1n (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: kala5583 (small blind) showed [7s Ks 5h Ad] and won (2044) with HI: two pair, Aces and Kings; LO: 8,7,5,4,A

The high actually only gets there 1 out of 4 times, surprisingly. (4 clean 6s plus the three Ks but I have the 8 and straight redraws)

Friday, October 23, 2009

10 Metal Songs

Listening to a lot of Tool radio on Pandora (go-to channel, great 90s rock) and loving Aenima randomly. Top 10 Heavy Metal songs? (not including Zeppelin (hard rock) or Alice n Chains (alternative))

10) Mother
Most covered and singable heavy metal song. Plus Danzig is funny.

9) The American Nightmare
May be unknown for non Stern listeners (White Zombie). Wakes up 10 million people everyday on Sirius.

8) Aenima
Second best hook on the list. Third on jack up list.

7) Cemetery Gates
Have to mention Pantera. The epic. Play it at the Bank.

6) Freedom
First commercially popular Rage song, still best, and actually makes me curious about the Indian forced evaucation . Killing in the Name Of was awesome but maybe a little overt? "Fuck you/I won't do what you tell me!"? Oliver Stone telling Woody Harrelson in NBK to say in the pharmacy "I'm Controversial!."?

5) Master of Puppets
(Master, Master) . .. . (awesome shit to say) . . . (Master, Master)

4) The Pot
Favorite Tool song. Best track on 10,000 Days, limited radio play, check it out.

3) Reign in Blood
I know this is very Guitar Hero oriented listed but how could you not just blow up when you Reign (or Rain) in Blood? Best metal hook ever, 2nd best work out song. Duh Duh Duh.

2) War Pigs
Al Gore followed Black Sabbath for two years. This song was written in 1970. 19ucking

1) One
Best benching song/Greatest Solo ever. Hit 295 with it.

BTW if your bored, just take this link and run with it : http://deadspin.com/5388978/and-now-theres-this-sean-salisbury-really-is-suing-us

Haven't mentioned Sean Salisbury (the jock from Jock v. Professor (John Clayton) on NFL Live and Sportscenter), or DeadSpin.com for that matter, but its worth looking into. Best way to get fired ever.




Monday, October 19, 2009

Couldn't be better time to update

Couldn't be a better time to update. Just left Phillies game. That game. 100 feet from the double. Saw best and iconic Philadelphia sports moment live. Like my dad said, "you buy tickets and roll the dice". Holy shit.

There's really no way to set this up, although this is the first extra-base walk off hit on final out with team losing in playoffs, aka most exciting possible play in baseball, since Kirk Gibson's elbow pumps in 1988. Rollins got the first and last hit. Had never been to a post season game of any sort (largely because they largely haven't existed in Philadelphia for the last 10 years). Tons on tension and good vibes leading up to the game (This was also Bruce Springsteen's final Philly show and the official close of the Spectrum; talk about a time to be at the Bank). Howard's jack in the first got everyone going, and it was anticlimatic since. The game was sloppy, Blanton was fairly shook and just hanging on by a thread, and after Ibanez got what should have been a two run single taken from fucking Ramirez if anybody, the boredom and frustration got worse and worse. (Sidenote: I think Ramirez batted 7 times. Everytime I looked he was up. He got two ABs in one when Eithier got picked off on a 1-2 Ramirez count).

Howard strikes out in the bottom of the eighth and then Werth, for the probably 13th time that game, got under a 100 mile an hour fastball from Broxton.

Top of the 9th, Eyre gets a single from Furcal and an out. This is actually very significant. This is also when the crowd kind of woke up from a slumber. Some kids behind us just started screaming uncontrollably and everyone was back in it. So Lidge gets up and gets two huge outs. Rememember, this is a one run game with Furcal on 1st with no outs. Furcal is a certified Philly Killer so this got some momentum going.

Ibanez leads off the ninth and hits into two pitch grounder. Then Charlie makes a huge move and PH's Feliz with Stairs, It was pretty hilarious watching them face each other; they are like clones. Stairs wins the stare-off and gets a 4 pitch walk. Then Ruiz gets hit by a pitch. Two on for Dobbs with one out. At this point I was telling my dad that the only way to score both runs in that park appeared to be by putting it about 100 ft below us or a double RF gap. From left field it was playable from that perspective. I also mentioned that, given necessity, Rollins can at least make good contact if forced too. Well, I tried to conjure up memories of Dobbs hitting a double in this spot, and I think I remember once. Dobbs gets owned by Broxton. However, this did lead to one positive observation about Broxton, who I never law really before (I don't think he was there last year). He throws either a fastball or a fastball. If you can make contact, you can drill it. So Rollins comes up. Takes a pitch, takes a ball. He cracked that fucking ball and it flew about 10 ft past Either's range. In the replay, it looked like Eithier hustled, but I don't remember him hustling. They both knew they were fucked, Eithier and the CF.

Nobody left the park for 27 outs, unlike previous trips to the park. Total fucking chaos. The adrenaline from 45,000 people who went from cynical to berserk was unreal and I'll probably never experience again. I threw my hat and punched the guy below me repeatedly. People were screaming for the next 20 minutes.

Some guy started fucking a taxi on the way out, and the driver honked and then smiled. That about sums it up.

Not much else to say. I sincerely doubt I'll ever witness anything like that. My crew was a displaced Cialis commercial of high school buddies in their fifties. All said it was best sports moment ever, and those three combined are no spring chickens.

Hamels will start tommorrow and that should be it. Losing tonight the way they did is much worse than losing 11-0. They got neutered by a cocky black guy with a shaky season for his contract and reputation and worse postseason.

So Yankees-Phillies huh? Wow. This area will be a war zone for 10 days or so. I want the Yankees. Fuck the Angels. There will be 200,000 people around the Bank for the home games. Guaranteed. Riots. Guaranteed.

As for the Eagles, Peter King (who I read religiously and is far and away the best sportswriter alive) made an awesome point about the Eagles loss to Oakland which summed up what a lot of people were thinking but scared to say around other Eagles fans: Who wanted to see what Kolb would have done after the 10th third and out or 25th grounder in the dirt? That timeout call with no timeouts is classic McNabb; he was a fragile psyche. Let a white boy with 750 total yards in two games get a shot in the fourth. Isn't antagaonizing McNabb exactly what got them in the Playoffs (barely) last year? Shit, put Vick in. Anything but scared McNabb.

Since this is a blog about sports betting lines, I should mention the lines. Haven't looked at the Philly line yet, but who could predict at at WAS on MNF? Who are the Eagles? -6 or -1? Not a game I'm betting that's for sure. If I had to pick, I'd say -4.5., with the Phillies being a -135 favorite with Hamels v the young kid they lit up eventually. (Eagles are actually -7 and the Phillies won't post until LVSC wake up Pacific). BTW Yankess already opened at -135 tom.


BTW one word and then three little ones: Redskins LOL
NFL Lines I like next week:

MIN ML +195 vs. Pit at Pit. Why should the 6-0 Vik be a more than -3 dog to 3-3 Pit? That is basically saying the Vikings are underdogs if they both played in Florida. Nonsense.

ATL ML +195 or so against DAL at home. Cowboyws suck. Ryan is really, really, good. I know. He's my starting QB for fantasy. His lines every week are impressive regardless who or where they are playing. Seriously, he's special.

IND at STL giving -13.5. Why wouldn't Manning throw 5 TDs? So it the line assumes the Rams will put up more than 20 pts? Don't get it.

Fantasy player I love:
Ray Rice. Got him for Todd Heap straight up two weeks ago. 50 pts since then and last minute sctratch addition pulling Marques Colston. I wonder how Todd Heap is doing (Heath Miller and Greg Olson are enough TEs for me; I think Miller is actually #1 in fantasy pts). One thing I don't understand about fantasy is that my team in my league is much better than my smaller (money wise) league, but is 3-3, and I'm 6-0 and lead in pts in the small league. Actually thats why I love fantasy. Its not just blind gambling. It requires lots of management and attention, at least a good league it does.

BTW for anybody in my league reading this, I did briefly play with the idea of extending the big play bonus to all 40+ plays, not just 40+ td plays. If I got a lot of people in favor of it, I could adjust it, and see if the W-L totals will change, and then backchange it if it affects anybody.

Personal life: Not much to say. Literally nothing has changed since my last post except my residence. I was in a relationship when everyone was single. Now everyone is wifeyed up and I'm single. Its not intentional. I thought Vinny's crew was a homerun this summer but there's something about 21 year old girls I used to find a lot more attractive. No challenge, they just drink all the time and slut out. I may have to start cruising the net, which I always never thought I would have to resort to. How can you tell if there is any chemistry? There's something about meeting somebody and instant attraction which isn't part of the equation, although I am ignorant.

Movies:
The Hurt Locker
The Hurt Locker
The Hurt Locker

Seriusly. And I have seen some good movies since I saw the Hurt Locker, but I can't say more. Its been about 4 weeks and I still am as enthusiatic as after i saw it. Just fucking rent it or dl it from thepiratebay, I doubt Comcast will be watching illegal dl's of that one. Basically the set up is the story of a IDE crew (explosive device) in Iraq. All action but incredibly smart. I'm talking Generation Kill good, top 3 war movies ever good. Check it out on metacritic.com or something, it has a 96 rating as of today. When the NYT and the WSJ agree on an Iraq war movie, that says something.

Anvil: The Story of Anvil was quite good too. This is Spinal Tap but for real. The most movieish documentary I can remember. So was Waltz with Bashir. Super good, and I love movies with that cartoon technology from Waking Life and aforementioned. How it didn't win best Oscar i'll never know. Whats the deal with that? What is it called? (rotoscoping says wikipedia). But still. See above.

BTW, final note as I probably won't post for a while unless the EAG-GIA in two weeks is crazy:
one underreported sports story is Ivey making and playing the final table at the WSOP in a couple of weeks. If you think poker is all luck and bad beats your fucking wrong. Watch old Ivey tapes in WPT events. He can see your cards. I'm not kidding.

Also, if your bored, check out the Klitichko fight against the Mexican heavyweight. Its pathetic what Klitichiko does to him. And actually, in the same vein, Malcolm Gladwell published an excellent piece about brain trauma in boxing and football right after the Clifton Smith defenseless jack up from CAR/TB. Check it out: http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/10/19/091019fa_fact_gladwell











Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Rollercoaster

For anyone considering getting into commission sales, listen to these two weeks:

Sell $15300 in MD (+1530), cancel due to bad handwriting, -1530
Sell $3740 in MD (+600)
Sell $7500 in MD (+750), undermeasure, goes to -550
Sell $12,300 in DE (+1100)
Sell $8700 in PA (+700)
Sell $20,000 in PA (+2750), cancel inexplicably, goes to -2750
sell $6600 in MD (+1000)
sell $5300 in DE (+530) , cancel inexplicably, -530

So what could be $8000 cash, or at 3 hours a demo, $333 an hour, drops to $3500

So sick

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Mid summer blog

So much has happened since the last update. John and Kate broke up (who the fuck are they?), David Carridine died jerking off. and my brother went through transgender reassignment surgery (One of those is not true).

As a follow up with the Alyse, it seems she has a good foundation in Baltimore to start a new life. The funny thing about a "divorce" is that you can only really analyze the nature of a relationship meaningfully once your out of it. Some of the details I've gathered about what happened down the line are pretty fucked up, but a relationship can turn into a battle of attrition, and when it starts to go that way all bets are of. Probably the most fucked up thing is that the last time I saw her she looked incredible ( hopefully she's so depressed shes not eating). I would have prefferred a psych ward or like a 40 pound add on, or at least a drug habit or something.

The Dave house never worked out. I got sick during his "crunch" time and he was antsy. I suppose this is a character trait I should have predicited. Over/under on Dave moving to Wilmington: December 31, 2009. I'll take the under.

I'm living with Vinny right now and its working out pretty well. Our apartment is half a block from Rooney's and we are paying considerably less than our old place. Vinny is pretty deep with his new gf so its really like having 2 roomates instead of one, and I think if it was anybody else there would be a lot of tension. I wish them the best of luck, but at the same time I see things in thier relationship that reminded me of how our relationship dissolved and its tempting to intervene and explain where things will end up if x behavior continues. Def not my place though.

New job is actually working out pretty well. Its probably the first time where Ive actually felt comfortable with my coworkers and expectations in a long time. One thing I have come to realize about sales, and particularly the kind i'm doing, is that it isnt just a "you have a good personality and you'll be fine" type of job. As any job, it requires a lot of learning and training to be good at. Obviously, I'm the type of person who doesn't listen to anybody about anything, and I feel like if I had listened to someone who really knows this business a while back I would have made a lot more money this year. Only in the last few weeks have been utilizing the input of my mentor and my performance has gone way up. Dave made a good point the other day: "I'd rather hire someone smart and motivated who doesn't know anything than someone set in thier ways who is good for average output." I understand why but the prequisite is that the person will actually listen lol.

For anybody who plays online poker, which I have gotten back into pretty considerably in the last two months, I have two suggestions. One is Pokerstars. They have by far the widest game selection and more importantly the most fish. It is quire easy to deposit (bank # and routing #), and withdrawal is just as easy (check once a week, no fee). Second suggestion is to check out SharkScope.com. Thanks Ari for the referral. You can type in anybodies handle, any poker room, and find thier ROI, total profit/loss, stakes played, and a number of other straightforward variables that will clearly indicate who is a donk and who isnt. One thing I found interesting from thier site is that 2/3 of SNG players are not profitable. That indicates to me that there is a lot less luck involved in these SNGs than you might think; the more luck involved the closer that number would be to 50% given the huge sample size.

In 9 weeks of 5 days a week gym I have lost about 15 pounds and brought my bench from 185 to about 250. My suggestions for results: concentrate on one muscle group a day, high weight, low rep, 4 reps for 3 sets. Finish up with cardio, and load up on proteins when you get home. Also, whatever you do, do not start up at the gym with high weight; spend a week doing low weight, high rep stuff so your body will start to remember the motions you will use later. I've done it a million times where you go in superfocused on getting into a routine, go hard for two days, and then pull something or get super sore and give up.

Sports thoughts:
1) I really think someone should step in with an interesting, less passive sport than baseball to take up nights (and gambling) during this dead period before the NFL season. Maybe MMA can step up, maybe televise the WSOP live. The only thing going is the golf majors, and that certainly isn't everyone's cup of tea.
2) Speaking of golf, start the final round of the U.S Open at 3 on Monday, not 9. It was apparently exciting but no one is going to watch that. Didn't Tiger last year start later?
3) Good for Kobe I guess but Orlando prob shouldn't have been there. They shot 58% I think from three range against Cleveland. Ray Allen, the most accurate 3 point shooter of all time, has a lifetime average of 40. That's like Chris Moneymaker winning the WSOP a couple of years ago. It was a lucky fluke, and the series would have been much more interesting with Boston or Cle.
4) Incredible what missing Ibanez has done to the fighting Phils. Beat the Yankees, Red Sox, and Mets back to back to back, lose Ibanez, and then lose 6 straight to Toronto and the Orioles (cough)
5) You can't tell me Boldin for that second round RB from Pitt would not have been a good trade for the Eagles. They have the salary cap room.

Other notes:
1) The Hangover is the only good movie I have seen since the Oscar rush. Total classic
2) Speaking of total classic, Artie on Joe Buck was easily one of the awesomest things i've ever seen. Very rarely does the smarmy company man lose to the crazy, human, completely uninhibited guy on live TV on the smarmy guys' homecourt.
3) Two bands and singles you gotta check out: "The Dirty Projectors - Remade Horizon" and "Phoenix-1909". I think everybody will know about the latter pretty quickly.
4) I am a huge Bill Simmons podcast advocate, and I've finally come around on the Adam Carolla podcast. the ACP is selectively totally hilarious with the right guest (Duse with the credit). Check it out: www.adamcarolla.com
5) For the first time since about 2005, I have some money, time, no real responsibilities, and a flexible job. If anybody has a good idea to do something crazy and outside of their comfort zone, let me know, I'm all for it.
6) Congrats to the Hills doing the law school application process the exact right way. If anybody is seriously thinking about law school, talk to them about they got in the position they are in with the schools they are going to and the money they aren't paying. Patience paid off big time there.
7) Is there anything on TV right now worth watching? I'm all ears.



Friday, April 10, 2009

Crazy week

I thought it would be an appropriate time to update as a couple of dramatic things have happened recently:

1) Alyse and I are splitting up
2) I am leaving Baltimore and moving to Delaware
3) I'm switching jobs momentarily

The breakup wasn't purely mutual (and I doubt that most "mutual" breakups really are because someone has to bring it up), but it was fairly close. I always anticipated that we would break up shortly after I left law school but I didn't think it would be this painful or as sudden as it was. Broken down pretty simply, we have completely different agendas and began to have less and less in common other then the same house and similar friends. She has one career path and perspective of what is important in life and I have a different one. Its much better to do this now then later. I of course wish her the best of luck and hope she finds happiness i apparently failed to provide her.

It sucks we still live together for the moment but I think it should all be civil. With the twins leaving, and Alyse staying in Baltimore, I decided to get out of town and head to Wilmy. I looks as of this moment I'll be living with Dave in a Dave-like pad in Trolley Square. There are few things I could think of being a more dramatic life change then going from living with a girl for four years to living with Dave in Trolley during the summer. On that note, I would certainly be willing to provide any female readers of this blog free bone, unless its Alyse, because it would then become emotional bone.

Few sports thoughts of the last couple months:

1) Terrible NCAA tournament save the Vill -Pitt game and its sweet +280 ML.
2) Who doesn't love Kenny Perry going into Saturday of the Masters tied with Chad Campbell at -9 with Tiger at -2? The lines +300. Love it. Kenny Perry is the leading all time PGA tour money winner never to win a major.
3) When are the Eagles going to get that WR? There has been talks of a "definite" Anquan Boldin acquisition (or his retarded brother Chad Johnson) for weeks and nothing has moved. Andy needs to start fucking hustling because the NFC East is going the be better than it was last year.

Media related notes:
1) Resident Evil 5 - not so good. World of Goo - super fucking awesome
2) In Treatment is appointment television. The funny thing is that the reason I didn't watch it was because I thought it would be an overly dramatic "adult" HBO with lots of pretense and pained looks on Gabriel Byrne's face. And it is. And its awesome.
3) Michael Scott Paper Company (MSPC) needs to continue for at least three more weeks. How is the black guy from the wire going to leave Scranton? My guess is he is framed for something by Michael and then fired, although I'd put moving on to a new company due to more attractive offer (like Scott going to Staples) or inability to cope with Scranton is 2.
4) I don't know if I mentioned this before but thanks to Chris, Blayze's friend, for the tip on www.popurls.com. It consolidates 4 to 5 sites on your internet surfing roster onto one page. Check it out.

Monday, December 22, 2008

Why Andy Reid is a "special" coach

Mark it. 12/22 was the worst day of football in recent memory. Reasons:

1) As an Eagles fan, I am used to bullshit and disappointment. McNabb throwing up, Ronde Barber eating up our offense, Deuce McAllister's career game, etc. But for some reason, yesterday's failure was the worst. And this isn't "what have you failed for me lately?" The Eagles uniquely disappointed thier fans in a sadisitic way no other team could.

Tell me this doesn't sound like a bad sports movie with the wrong ending. The Eagles look awful vs. the Ravens, which may not have entirely been thier fault as the Ravens defense can make any team look awful. Andy Reid figuratively does something completely crazy and benches his franchise QB with the season hanging in the balance because he was losing by three points. Now, this sounds like an "I'll show everybody I'm not crazy because something unanticipated and awesome will come of this" move.  After the game, the media and fans want Reid fired.

 Of course, true to script, that unanticipated, awesome result comes about in the form of a 4 game win streak with McNabb playing incredible ball and a jacked up defense. This would be about hour deep in the movie where the defensive lineman would be saying cool, macho stuff to each other after monster tackles during the win streak. 

After everything was thought lost a few weeks ago, the Bad News Eagles can only get in now if a a good team (TB) improbably loses and the Eagles play a tight, last man standing game against their arch rivals, the Cowboys, withMcNabb's flamboyant archenemy. Of course, the good team (TB) loses a winable game at home to an underdog, and now its on to the death battle???

No. If this was the Giants,   the TB loss would get the nervous, beaten up Giants team a burst of life that would manifest itself in hard rock pounding and vicious-defense against WAS for its upcoming winner take all battle against Dallas. But its the Eagles. 

Instead of pound the rock, Reid called 12 running plays. And 48 pass plays. Remember when the Giants game was really close and the Eagles insisted on running a tough, 5-9 running back against a great D-line and he finally broke a 30 yard TD run? That was two weeks ago. Instead, Reid decided that winning was too stressful and did exactly what caused him to fail in the past; throw to uninspired, 3rd string WRs and TEs who are notoriously unclutch. Had they had even 20% clutch in them, Jackson would have caught that pass with 1:03 left or Avant would have found a way to break the plane.

McNabb played a good game. Andy Reid is 100% to blame for his. And he won't be fired. And when TB beats Oakland by 30 (ironically w/ Jeff Garcia), the Eagles will beat Dallas in relaxed, thank-god-we-don't-have-to-win manner next week. 

My theory is that, from a business perspective, Jeffery Lurie will never get rid of Reid even though Reid A) has a great framework of talent on his roster b) has terrible clock management (what if there was a TO left after the Avant catch?) and c) calls plays like a 12 year old playing Madden 98' . Why not? Lurie doesn't care if we win or lose; as long as there is conflict and extreme brilliance/idiocy, Eagles fans will keep watching/talking/loving/hating. As long as we aren't boring, we're profitable. 

2) Vinnie and I come up with a new way to bet this weekend. Both of us write down out our picks against the spread, compare, cross out shared picks, and then bet $20 a game on whats left. After comparing, the only game out of 16 we didn't agree on was MNF GB(me) @ Chi (-4). FOr the sake of entertainment, we decide to bail on one pick a piece to create more action and pick the other end. Vin goes from PIT(+2) to TEN(-2), I go from ATL(+3) to MIN(-3).  

I've lost 2/3 and am watching CHI defense shit on GB in subzero weather as we speak. $60 gone on a nearly coinflip basis. Speaking of which.....

3) Alyse plays Vinnie in FF. 

Roddy White+Deion Branch+Robert Mathis+Adrian Fucking Peterson=7.5 points. 

Larry Fitgerald on one pass with ARI down 42-0 in the fourth quarter and Kurt Warner inexpicibly playing=14 points

Seriously.

4) The only rewards of the weekend were Farve choking (wahhhhhh) and Baltimore shutting down the Cowboys in awesome style.

My NFL playoff predicitions

WC: Den v Bal, Bal. Mia v Ind, Ind. TB v Ari, TB. Atl v Min, Atl.
Div: Bal v Pit, Pit. Ind v Ten, Ind. NYG v TB, NYG. Atl v Car, Atl.
Champ: Pit v Ind, Ind. Atl v NYG, NYG
SB: Nyg v Ind, Ind

Things I've learned on one-call close selling in the last two months:
1) Do not use a "superior authority" or "talk to my manager" negotiation-close unless absolutely last resort. I've close all my sales myself and have lost sales by confusing people by forcing them to negotiate with the higher authority.
2) Do everything possible to avoid "mud-wrestling", or back-and-forth objection closing at the end. Mud wrestling sucks, creates cancellations, and can make you seem unprofessional. Close objections and resistance unfront by creating a non-confrontational close.
3)"Closing" is just coming to an agreement. Persuading is a unilateral activity. Mutually coming to an agreement by creating benefits to solve problems is a cooperative activity. The latter is much easier, positive, and profitable. 
4) If you get objections, the person either 1) doesn't like you or 2) is just nervous about something. If its the former, you fucked up. If its the latter, then its just a matter of find out the anxiety and quelling because you are just a consultant trying to help. 
5) Be whoever they want you to be. If they go to church, I go to church. If you have a kid, I have one on the way. If you like McCain, I like McCain. If you are Zorostrian, you wouldn't believe it, but so am I. 

Of course, this is based on real small sample of sales; however, the same issues keep coming up and these are principles that just explain issues I've had.



Thursday, September 4, 2008

Damn right and picks of the week

From today's NYT following Palin's "you have cooties" speech last night at the DNC:

Three days into the Republican National Convention, it is clear that the G.O.P. has settled on a message: “Washington is not working.” The phrase is included in virtually every speech and every statement in St Paul.

We agree completely that Washington is in desperate need of renewal and reform. We’re not even going to quibble about the fact that Barack Obama said it first. The problem is that American voters have yet to hear — from John McCain or his warm-up acts — any serious ideas on what, exactly, is wrong with Washington, apart from the fact that a Democrat might win the White House, never mind how to truly fix it.

The difficulty for the Republican ticket in talking about change and reform and acting like insurgents is that they have been running Washington — the White House and Congress — for most of the last eight years.

Sarah Palin, the vice presidential nominee, was a combative and witty relief at a torpid convention. But it was bizarre hearing the running mate of a 26-year veteran of Congress, a woman who was picked to placate the right-wing elite, mocking “the permanent political establishment in Washington.”


And we couldn’t imagine what Mitt Romney was thinking when he denounced “liberal Washington” and then, at the convention of the party that brought you unimpeded presidential spying, declared: “It’s time for the party of big ideas, not the party of Big Brother!”

As hard as he tries, Mr. McCain cannot escape the burdensome shadow of President Bush because his policies offer no real change. On the all-important issue of the economy, Mr. McCain has no prescription for ending the mortgage-driven crisis or for fixing the huge fiscal problems Mr. Bush has bequeathed the nation. He wants to make even deeper cuts in corporate taxes, eliminate the alternative minimum income tax and make permanent the Bush tax cuts that vastly favor the wealthy and that he once correctly opposed.

His only idea for balancing the budget seems to be controlling earmarks, which Republicans now denounce with the sort of single-minded fervor they used to reserve for Democratic-appointed judges.

Permanently extending the tax cuts would reduce tax revenue by $1 trillion over four years. If Mr. McCain eliminated every earmark (including money for the gas pipeline that Ms. Palin wants to build in Alaska), the savings would total about $18 billion a year. He hasn’t offered any idea of where he’ll get the rest of the money.

He has not explained how he plans to rein in out-of-control financial firms and avoid a repeat of the mortgage disaster. Mr. Bush’s ideological opposition to sound government regulation is in large measure to blame for the economic crisis, but when Mr. McCain talks about fixing Washington, that subject never comes up.

Mr. McCain also has yet to explain to voters how he intends to go on paying for the war in Iraq — and also fix a dangerously stretched and overburdened military. Mr. McCain talks about energy independence. But his primary solution is not a solution: drilling and more drilling.

Mr. McCain says he is the candidate who will better protect the country from terrorism. But about all he has to offer is his pledge to continue the war in Iraq. We have yet to hear an explanation for how he plans to do that while also salvaging the war in Afghanistan — the real front line in the war against Al Qaeda and the Taliban.

Now that everyone agrees that Washington needs fixing, we hope Mr. McCain will offer more than partisan boilerplate when he addresses the convention on Thursday night.


Picks of the week, all of whom are suprisingly favorites:

NYG +4.5 over WAS: Not sold on Jason Campbell or Washington yet. Not until they can show consistancy. And you better believe that Eli and the gang are going to be fired up at the Meadowlands after all the press shit talking about them in the offseason.

Steelers +6.5 over the Texans: I have heard all kinds of reasons why the Texans will cover this spread, counterintuitively. Well, I'm going to use my intuition. The Texans suck. And Pittsburgh is good, especially in the beginning of the season when they aren't all banged up from the physical football they play. I don't see the Texans scoring more than 10 points in this game.

Eagles +7.5 over Rams: See above. Rams suck.

Detroit +3 over Atlanta. See above. Falcons suck.

Jets +3 over Miami. See above. Miami sucks.

Vikings +2.5 on MNF against the Packers. I know its Lambeau and Roger's will be fired up, but until Rodgers shows me anything, there is no reason to believe Minnesota won't just play a "bruise and run" game and control the football the whole time. Almost like a control deck in Magic against a deck predicated on some big, fancy new card thats tough to integrate the first time playing.

I have my phone back btw.

Monday, September 1, 2008

Palin

Have people lost their fucking minds? Beyond all the other reasons to abhor the republicans right now, what happens if McCain dies (72)? Is Ms. Housemom from Alaska going to deal with tough foreign policy issues with Iran, China, and Russia? Could she stare down Putin at the G8? What the fuck are 48 percent of America thinking? Is latent racism really that widespread? I really mean it at this point that if the republicans get elected, I'm getting an MBA in Canada and just moving to Vancouver. No kidding. And I'm staying there. Fuck this bullshit.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

FF aftermath and musings

My new ffootball rankings:

1) Mike
2) Alyse
3 and 4) Kaufmann and Brian
5) Rodney
6) Me

I had a good draft but several injuries have made my team much worse on paper than it was. Bobby Engram, my surprise stud WR from last year, is out for 7 weeks. Cleveland's right guard is out for the year, therefore fucking Earnest Graham. Jerry Porter is gametime decision for the first game.

Mike looks really strong. Steven Jackson, Maurice J.D, Steve Smith, Garrard, Wittnen, and Cotchery makes him the team to beat. I give myself about a 30% chance to beat him in week one.

The beach this weekend is going to be nuts. Feel free to come down for a bit and check out the scene.

Congrats to Joe Biden for being our V.P, repping DE. I really didn't think Obama would take that kind of chance, since Biden has a history of running his mouth and his state is irrelevant, but I think it really reinforces Obama's idea campaign of running a principled campaign without political regard. On Bodog, Mitt Romney is a 2-3 favorite to be McCain's running mate; I think there is a good chance it'll be Tom Ridge though, a moderate who will secure PA.

BTW, can anybody explain to me why someone should vote for McCain? I mean that to contrast the popular and most frequently answered question, why not to vote for Obama. When I asked my parents why the would vote for McCain, they said because they don't trust OBama. Whenever McCain campaigns or makes a press release about the campaign, it is a knock on Obama. I haven't heard one argument from a McCain supporter why one should vote for McCain, only why one shouldn't vote for Obama. It seems to me that if that is the popular position, anti-Obama rather pro-McCain, the right thing to do for anti-Obamites is just to not vote unless they have a reasonable belief that McCain's policies and adminstration will affirmatively better for the country. Its quite intellectually and politically irresponsible otherwise.

Time for a little bragging. I took the GMAT last week and got a 710 (92% percentile). The average GMAT at Harvard is a 705. I studied for about 20 hours. It was quite a bit easier than the LSAT, but at the same time, law school conditioned me to take highly analytical, high pressure, three hour tests.

The problem is my character history on paper is poor. In reality, I have absolutely no remorse or guilt for any of the crimes I committed (with the exception of my DUI at 17). All of my transgressions were non-violent intoxicant related crimes against myself. While illegal, I dont believe for a minute that they were immoral. Most western nations other than the U.S would consider my "crimes" acceptable. Alcohol and marijuana use is not only socially acceptable in most western socieities but the real irony is that most of the people judging me are guilty of the same "crimes" but weren't caught.

Regardless (boo fucking hoo), the pros and cons here are:

Pro
Good Gmat score
Hispanic
Good law school grades

Con
Bad character history
Average undergrad grades
Little work experience

Obviously the biggest obstacle is the character thing. If anybody has any clever ideas about the most painless and rewarding way to cure my character issues, or belongs to a volunteer or nonprofit group that needs help, let me know.

Rock Band= Awesome. While the guitar work is not nearly as fun as guitar hero, the group ethic is fucking awesome.

Book recommendation: Scott Turow's "Ultimate Punishment: A Lawyer's Reflections on Dealing with the Death Penalty". It is an incredibly insightful look at the complexities of the death penalty. Turow worked on a commission to suggest reforms for the Illinois Death Penalty, and had unlimited resources to create a broad picture of all of the considerations that go into creating a just, predictable, and consistent capital punishment policy. His basic conclusion was that while everybody has heard of crimes that scream for the death penalty, it is so unwieldy as a whole that it should be abolished.

Movie recommendation: The Counterfeiters. A nazi death camp French movie about Jewish counterfeiters who were forced to manufacture American dollars as a way to destro the American economy. Riveting.

Wish you saw it: Gold medal basketball game. A real classic. Spain played out of its mind and way above its means, but the U.S proved too talented. There is no question now that we have the best basketball players in the world (if there ever was one). I also think we have the bess athletes in the world, regardless of the golf medal count. Shooting and ping pong gold medals don't mean shit.

Article of the week:

Bush Told To Sign Birthday Treaty For Someone Named 'Kyoto'

WASHINGTON—Enlisted by members of the House and Senate, presidential aide Rebecca Tandy brought a copy of the international climate-change treaty to President Bush's desk Monday and asked him to sign a birthday document for a Japanese dignitary named "Kyoto Protocol." "Mr. Protocol really likes treaties, so we got him this treaty instead of a card, so if you could just—all the other countries have already signed it," a nervous Tandy reportedly said to Bush, who quickly scrawled his signature on the treaty and told her to tell Kyoto he said "hi." "And now, if you could just initial here, and here, and here, and, oh, you can ignore all that stuff about sulfides. That's just an inside joke." House Speaker Nancy Pelosi later attempted to get Bush to sign a "bar mitzvah stop-use agreement" for the son of Mr. and Mrs. Ben Clusterbomb.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Olympics, Fantasy Football, and Dewey

Dewey has been quite exhausting recently. The constant ebb and flow of friends coming to the beach is better than being lonely but can take a considerable toll on your body if just from the drinking. The way we describe it, and this not meant to be targeted, is that whenever people come to visit its "their weekend". By that I don't mean that they require being the center of attention or are being selfish in anyway, but I mean that they are full of saved up alcoholic energy which tends to be infectious. After say three groups of people come down over a week or weekend, each with their own agenda, we (and by we I mean the housemates) end up putting in more hours socializing and boozing then we probably should. Not that this is necessarily a bad thing; you only live once, but at the same time, it is very difficult to focus, particularly in a transition period that I and everyone else in the house is facing with various career goals and changes from the previous status quo. Its definitely a signal I've been going too hard if I'm yearning for some kind of productivity.

The summer has so far been a success. We have a good blend of roommates with relatively limited drama. Most of the drama has come from fairly predicatble situations (relationships + off schedules + alcohol). All of our friends who have come down have been generally generous and low maintenance, with a few glaring exceptions. Molly's going away boat was in her words "fucking awesome" and some of the June weekends were memorable.

Random thoughts:

1) The Brett Farve Saga has been absolutely disgusting. Shame on ESPN for perpetuating this bullshit. This whole thing has really left a bad taste in my mouth about following the ESPN "soap opera" wagon.

Last year, when I drove every day to Harrisburg with only FM and AM (Alyse had the Sirius) and I listened to ESPN radio consistently, I realized how incredibly predicatble and formulated the ESPN machine is. Every news program on ESPN is almost perfectly coordinated to have a day-rank of 5 stories and shove them down your throat via every medium possible. Next time you watch Around the Horn, check the first five stories on PTI, the first five links on ESPN.COM, the stories Jim Rome is "burning on", and what is being discussed by Tirico or Mike and Mike on the radio. All the same. Not only are they only the same, but they often pitch the exact same perspective. The Farve thing was the worst example. Its a monopoly of poor commerical sports journalism. The only guy I still respect there is Bill Simmons

2) . .. . which leads into my next point, that the Olympics is really pretty refreshing. Real sports fans can appreciate the pure competitiveness of "off sports" like tennis (See Nadal/Federer Wimeldon), golf (Tiger at the U.S Open), swimming (Phelps), and even stuff like volleyball and MMA. Its so much more interesting than Farve's text messages or Pacman's new name (Adam!).

3) I've gotten into books on tape recently as my Sirius broke and I was bored driving for work. I've gotten through 1984, Don Quixote, The Old Man and the Sea, and My Life (Clinton's autobiography).

1984: Absolute must read, entertaining to read and more intellectually stimulating and political than Atlas Shrugged. Can't believe i was never required to read this in high school.

Don Quixote: Cultural artifact thats amusing if not relevant

The Old Man and the Sea: Beautiful book thats whimisal, non important, but generally pleasant to listen to.

My Life: Fascinating. Must read/hear. Regardless of how you feel about him its a very revealing recap of the most important events of the 90's.

4) Common social wisdom dictates that really hot girls are not nice and uglier, bigger girls are nice and have good personalities out of necessity. I think this is in fact total bullshit.

5) I'm really pretty excited for fantasy football. If your reading this your probably in the league. My preseason playoff 6 picks:

1) Me
2) My brother
3) Brock
4) Ari
5) Rodney or Brian but not both
6) Blayze

7) Republicans really make me fucking sick. Not the identity or political preference but the political campaign inner circle itself (Newt, DeLay, Bush, Rove) . Hearing about some of the travesties during the Clinton era of Republican moral politics in his autobiography and experiencing how the current campaign is being conducted is reprehensible. How can Obama be blamed for going to repair foreign relations in his European tour? The only logical progression would be a video of Obama saving a baby and making a three pointer and then ending with "OBAMA: HE'S BLACK!".

Come visit Labor Day weekend.

Monday, June 23, 2008

MId Summer

So I got a job as a delivery boy last week. Pretty far fall from taking the bar and sitting second chair in October for a capital murder. The other option was to be a bouncer, and I figured I make twice as much this way. Talk about a cush fucking job. No open, no close, no clean up, just me, Howard, my G.P.S, and italian food. BTW Casa DiLeo has slamming food.

The "senior" driver was fired my first day because he couldn't cut it. Seriously. Apparently when he was out on a delivery he called his customer for directions, she started explaining to him where to go, and he flipped out on her. She called the owner saying she didn't want the food and that her husband was about to beat the driver's ass. HA. Poor guy was bipolar though.

Random thoughts:
1) I've never enjoyed a 40 basketball victory more than Game 6, particularly in light of all the Donagy shit and the light shining on Game 6 of the 2002 Kings-Lakers debacle. Everybody knew it was fixed and it has to be particularly vindicating for Sac fans.

2) Who the fuck cares if Obama takes public money?

3) If anybody is interested in September tickets for the Phillies in a divisional game, let me know. I'm sure the Mets or Atlanta will be in Philly and the race will be close.

4) Is it more of an accomplishment to marry a 9 who doesn't speak English or a 7 that does?

Thursday, June 5, 2008

Changes

First - Gotta love Boston at -2.5. Boston can will themselves to win this series. Here's how I think it will play out:

Game 1 - 91-84 Boston, Boston plays sick defense at home
Game 2 - 107-94 LA, LA plays liquid offense
Game 3 - 113-107 LA, Tight game with Kobe killing it in the 4th
Game 4 - 92-90 Boston, Ray Allen comes up big and comes from behind in the 4th quarter to win
Game 5 - 95-84 Boston, Big game with momentum going with Boston, sick bench play
Game 6 - 104-82 LA, LA blows them out
Game 7 - ? - 93-91

So if you dont know about my situation, I'll spell it out. I have a fairly substantial criminal history dating from about 1998-2003. When I applied to law school, I didn't disclose my criminal arrests or the fact that I had been suspended from UDel for a year. I basically wanted to get into law school no matter what and I thought I could finagle my way into an expungement. I totally forgot about the lie until March when I requested a copy of my law school application. At that point I not only was prepared to take the Delaware bar but I had a job doing criminal defense contract work and was going to sit second chair at a death penalty trial in November. 

Once I learned of the inconsistency, I called an attorney to figure out what to do. He said disclose. The thought of committing professional suicide was scary. After a while though, I realized that if I had perpetuated the fraud and the Board of Bar Examiners knew I didn't correct it, I was fucked anyway. What good is a J.D without being able to get through character and fitness? I eventually decided to disclose, and I sent the dean of our school a pretty shocking transgression.

I learned approximately a week ago that the school will not issue me a J.D until 2010, and only then after proof of good character and an interest in the legal profession. While this is certainly dissappointing, if I were them, I would have done the same. I'll be 26 when I'm eligible, and the average age of our graduating class was 26. Not a big deal. Anyway, I want to thank everybody who has known about this situation and has been sensitive to it. I plan on being in an MBA program in 2010 and walking with a JD/MBA by 2011. 27 with a JD/MBA and all skeletons exposed should be a good position. 

Anyway, random thoughts:

1) Baracks speech the night he "won" was one of the best speechs I can remember about anything. I think a switch turned on and he went from cool and collected to intense and fiery. 

2) This NBA finals is going to be spectacular. The Lakers are a more polished machine but Boston has more talent per five players. The only way the Celtics can win is with a lot of heart, and "heart" games are the best. See Golden State v Dallas, Boise State v Oklahoma, Giants v New England

3) Juno was pretty average. Its strange that a stripper can come off as a little pretentious and artistically elitist. 

4) I;d like to thank Dave and Jesse for getting me into MMA all of the sudden. I like boxing, but MMA is obviously more entertaining. The real difference is that any boxing match short of a heavyweight bout goes to decision after 30 minutes of jabs and grabbing. Im sorry, Delahoya fights just arent that interesting. Nor is felix trindad. However, MMA undercards have been consistently entertaining. For that matter, the women fight undercard of the Kimbo Slice hight was an incredible fight. Can you say you have seen a women's featherweight boxing undercard you have been interested in short of that one where the girl broke her neck?

5) The college lacrosse finals were actually kind of interesting. I am normally completely disinterested in fast action court games (soccer, hockey, rugby), but lacrosse has an interesting pace. 

6) I dont think I have ever disliked a reality show contestant more than Lisa of Top Chef this season. Her text dissaproval rating tonight was 92%. After that figure came in,  she complained to the two winning contestants that they didn't congradulate her for surviving (even after being on the chopping block for the last three episodes). As Richard put it, Wow, You got the Bronze!! What a cunt. The over under on the disapproval rating for next week should be 96%. 

7) Idea for bar owners: Two drink specials: 1) Barack O'Bomb: 1 can of red bull, 3/4 shot of godiva chocolate liqour, 1/4 godiva white chocolate liquor. 2) Dirty, lying cunt: a bloody mary with a tequilla floater. 

8) Dont ever go to Clifton Liquors in Edgemoor of Marsh Road. I read an article yesterday its been robbed 5 times in the last year, and that previous owner died of a gunshot wound. 

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Trap

As I finish up law school in the next week, the best advice I can give you is:
Don't go unless:
1) You get a full ride and you are o.k with going to a school "below" yourself
2) You are super confident you will not only be in the top 10% of the class but you will interview well when the big firms come around for 2L summering (and even then only if you are comfortable with completely devoting your life to writing briefs and drafting memos for a number of years)
3)Somebody is paying your way through
4)You want to go into public interest law (DA, PD)

I only learned about the attractiveness of option 4 today. Apparently, Congress has established a program offering serious, serious loan forgiveness to public interest attorneys. Say you make 40k as a DA somewhere. You pay 15% of your DI a month 120 times, and everything else is forgiven.

To put that in perspective, with interest, a standard repayment plan on $100k in loans will cost you something like 180k over 10 years to pay off. Yup, thats right, 18k a year in loan payments. New program, lets say 15% of your DI is 5k on a year. You pay that for ten years, you save $130k (even though the benefit is taxed)

So in terms of establishing skewed incentives, the best jobs financially to take now are:
1) Entry level salary 120K +, then
2) Public interest 35k-50k, then
3) Private sector 50k-80k

if you are willing to put the ten years in. Strange.

BTW, can the U.S please go ahead and create a national oil company that would not only be OPEC's biggest customer but would also be able leverage foreign policy beneficially to secure lower oil prices? Reponse: Anticompetitive. Paradox since we are paying $3.60 a gallon for gas and obviously have no alternative? Wait, anticompetitive? The current oil fiasco smells a lot like the same consumer price gouging that the deregulation of electricity allowed Enron to profit so keenly on before it went down. Deregulation and free market doesn't mean abuseless in three and four party adhesion markets.

Go Baltimore. I wish the Eagles would grow a pair in a draft sometime and pick out of there comfort zone. Guys like David Tyree don't make big plays when the team philosophy is "be really adequate all around so that nobody can criticize us" rather than "fuck it, lets take a shot".

I'm not a big Boston fan, but at the same time, I think I like Atlanta less than New Orleans at this point in terms of whiny jawing. At least Washington is somewhat tongue in cheek with their bullshit. We'll see what Paul does against a fired up Tony Parker, and better yet, what Tyson Chandler (HA!) does against Duncan. As far as Atlanta goes, Bibby looks ridiculous and J.R smith and Hortford are overrated. Two nice games, but this would be like Igodaula or Andre Miller telling Rip Hamilton he's a pussy after losing game 3. Even if it might be effective on some street ball level I don't understand, you are much more likely to just look like a douchebag.

I have a feeling Utah is going to be a fun game to watch tommorrow night after Game 4, as will Phoenix. The Philly series cements my suspicion that the Sixers could be a legit Eastern threat if they find a big veteran with poise to settle them down in situations just like thier meltdown in Game 4. Please Garnett? Please? Nah, maybe Jermaine O'Neal or Jason Richardson for a draft pick, Thaddeus Young, and Andre Miller.

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

I'm politically moving to Canada

First, sports:
1) Who would have thought New Orleans was for real? I'm not a Chris Paul fan but damn. Even though I have SA v Dal in the next round, I would really like to see Nash match up (somehow) with NO in the next round
2) Utah looks like they are going to give LA a big run. Def best series of playoffs.
3) Go Sixers? If Philly can win two at home and go up 3-1, there's certainly a good chance they could beat the Pistons in Game 6, although I think they have no way of matching up with Orlando anyway
4) Houston needs to trade for a big man this off season. Like a Dampier or Haywood.
5) Washington? HA!

More importantly:

I have never been too interested in politics. Today is the only day I have ever emotionally reacted to a change in the political landscape in American. I have lived in Bumblefuck, PA for the last two months and have been inundated with the Democratic primary here since it became strangely relevant.
When the democratic primary began, I slightly leaned towards Hillary as an electable alternative to any Republican who would continue this mess of an administration. Today, I can honestly say that I am thoroughly embarrassed to live around people who honestly though Hillary Clinton deserved a nod to be the next president. The level of unethical bullshit that she has pulled, ranging from lies to barely guised racism, is extraordinary.

The only three reasons I can think of why anyone could somehow overlook her incredible negativity and unprofessionalism and support her are:

1) She has more experience than Barack

Experience in what? Lingering around 20 years of Bush-Clinton-Clinton-Bush-Bush-Clinton!!!!. Does anybody honestly think that anything will meaningfully change in this country if she is elected? Same senate, same politics, same negativity, same bullshit reform promises, same cronies. By voting for her you either 1) naively believe that she somehow has the courage to cut ties with old politics and shake things up, 2) think the country is fine the way it is, or 3) realize huge material flaws in American political culture but are too scared of change. Remember, 2o years of experience as a high level executive in a company that is culturally and economically collapsing as a result of adherence to groupthink may not be better than taking a chance on someone with obvious talent and unassailed character.

2) Barack's name is Hussein Obama/He's black/He's a closet muslim/He likes Louis Farrakhan/He doesn't wear flag pins/He has cooties

I think this is the vote that shaped the election today. And this is why I am politically moving to Canada if Hillary is the democratic nominee. If she becomes the democratic nominee on these terms, I am deeply embarrassed for those people who buy into this shit, and I am embarrassed to be any part of a political machine that would allow this type of behavior to be publicized or even in some cases lauded. No more political anything, ever again.

3) Her policies are awesome

HA! Wait, the merits? Instead of exit polls asking people whether a comment in San Francisco affected their opinion of the candidates, I would love to ask some 40 year old trucker from Lancaster what he thinks about Hillary's stance on health care reform is compared to Obama's.


Campaign so far:
H: You embarrassed me by fucking that intern, you better get me elected.
B: How I am I going to get you elected? You're not electable. You're part of the same mess everybody is tired of now, plus you obviously don't have a backbone or you would have divorced me after 6 billion people found out I liked a chubby intern more than your Senatorial self.
H: You owe me motherfucker. Go on some speaking tours, round up some money, and use your connections to get me to the right people
B: I guess if you got elected I would be a first man. I could just hang out in the Presidential Library (chuckle)
H: Yeah plus if we were both president we would have so much networking capital at the end of my term we could do whatever we wanted the rest of our lives
B: Shit girl you're already a Senator, and I was a president, do you need more power?
H: I'll be damned if some brother from Illinois is going to rain on my parade. Round up the troops. Get me some dirt. If you say stuff that I can't but is still effective negativity, and I get some cold blooded staffers to try to stroke the xenophobic, slightly racist core of most of the middle-class, I think I have a shot
B: You know you are like 95% fucked on paper right? You would have to win the next two states 100-0 to catch up?
H: I don't care. Fuck this dude. Shit, if McCain gets elected, at least I'll still have some friends in big places. You think Barack will throw me a dime after the shit I pulled?
B: True. I guess when you lose, you can still write a book about "your struggle", and be some kind of American feminist hero for being so tenacious.
H: Yeah. That would definitely even me out after looking like such a pussy when you cheated on me.

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

The Mexican Mastrubator

First SB. Took Utah (-4.5) at CHI, IUPUI (+3.5) at ORoberts, ML W Kent and Arizona State. Looks like last one will hit. I'm thinking I'm going to slow down on small games and lean towards big leans into more sure things. Poker is keeping me afloat though.

Few thoughts on Bodog:

Superturbos suck. Its like playing craps. I really think my lifetime covers my rake. I do much better when I can see flops.

"Beginnner" tourneys are kind of cool. Pays 5 places rather then 3, so people are mad tight earlier. Loose play pays.

Speaking of loose play, my hourly take from loose play in NL cash games is much higher than tight play. You make a lot more money over time with 65s then AA in cash games. So many people emulate tourney strategy that they don't realize how little value AA or KK in a loose ring game.

As for the Mexican Mastrubator, I saw a pretty unique trial today. Not so much because a soccer mom got on the stand and said she took " a double take at a Mexican mastrubating in a window", but because the guy was defended by a P.D who didn't look a day over 23. The kid was reeeeaall green. Used notes for opening, close, and even a four question cross. His close was all over the place and he missed huge points. I found out later he was 3L. The curious point was, he was sitting next to a relatively experienced PD. Why would the PD's office let this go?

The answer is kind of interesting. He wasn't playing for anything. Apparently the Mexican was in county leading up to trial. I guess he couldn't get bonded out. If the PD got him off (and he could have if he was more prepared), he would have been let out there. If the Mexican was found guilty (and I am assuming he was, I didn't see the verdict but its likely), no judge would have sentenced him to anything more than his backtime for a small offense like lewdness. So he would have gotten out anyway, the only difference being that if found guilty, he would have a misdemeanor on his record (which wouldn t matter since he couldn't be deported for a misdemeanor). The moral of the story is this is maybe the one rare situation where competent representation is irrelevant.

Sunday, March 9, 2008

Mid march update

So Saturday was probably my best day since the Superbowl. I hit USC(+1), CAL(+16.5), Cuse(-1), and UNC(+1), actually with considerable margins. Ill tell you what, USC looks nasty. Stanford is a good team, Lopez is a good big man, but those USC guards can shoot. I would love to see USC v Duke in the tourney and take the USC ML.

I have SAS(+2) against the Suns this afternoon. I lost a huge parlay earlier in the week with the Suns coming up way short against the Nuggets, and have bet against them and won every game since. Hopefully more of the same continues. I might consider an under on DET/CHI tonight but Im not too thrilled about any of the lines.

Maryland (+1.5) is prob a good bet this afternoon as their backs are against the wall like Boheims was yesterday.

Wire predictions:
1) Marlo gets out on bail, Cheese takes a shot at him, fails, and then Michael runs up on him at the end out of coincidence

2) McNulty's shit gets turned over to the Feds and the Feds/Governor come down on Carcetti and McNulty with a fury. Either way McNulty will hang.

3) Templeton gets what he doesn't deserve. No happy ending there

We'll see.

Thursday, February 28, 2008

2/28

So last night was unreal

Utah loses 10% game against Minnesota (Ha)
Washington loses by 26 against Yao less Rockets
Miami wins first game in Feb by 20
Clev loses to Milwaukee on the road
Kobe (averaging 39 points against Portland), leads his Lakers to a 16 point first half and misses over by 30

Luckily i hit some poker hands to make up for my losses.

I recovered some what with the under on Duke/GT (163!!) tonight

Poker is frustrating. Two nights in a row now a low stack has checked raised me preflop with AA when I have AK and there is about half of his stack already in the pot. Anything but against AA its a good call.

Hopefully I can hit some hands and get ready for the weekend.

"You know your playing low limit" hand of the night:

UTG +1 raises 3bb, button calls, I call 97h (BB). Flop comes 6h4h5c, i check, UTG bets pot, button calls, I come over top, UTG without hesitating calls with 88. I strike out. First message from UTG +1, "wtf are you stupid?", i and the rest of the table eat him up, flaming continues until he looks it up and realizes he's a 55/45 dog. 79H seems to be a shit hand for me. Last time I straight up stacked off in AC was against my friend in almost the exact same fashion except he had a set.