The Mexican Mastrubator

First SB. Took Utah (-4.5) at CHI, IUPUI (+3.5) at ORoberts, ML W Kent and Arizona State. Looks like last one will hit. I'm thinking I'm going to slow down on small games and lean towards big leans into more sure things. Poker is keeping me afloat though.

Few thoughts on Bodog:

Superturbos suck. Its like playing craps. I really think my lifetime covers my rake. I do much better when I can see flops.

"Beginnner" tourneys are kind of cool. Pays 5 places rather then 3, so people are mad tight earlier. Loose play pays.

Speaking of loose play, my hourly take from loose play in NL cash games is much higher than tight play. You make a lot more money over time with 65s then AA in cash games. So many people emulate tourney strategy that they don't realize how little value AA or KK in a loose ring game.

As for the Mexican Mastrubator, I saw a pretty unique trial today. Not so much because a soccer mom got on the stand and said she took " a double take at a Mexican mastrubating in a window", but because the guy was defended by a P.D who didn't look a day over 23. The kid was reeeeaall green. Used notes for opening, close, and even a four question cross. His close was all over the place and he missed huge points. I found out later he was 3L. The curious point was, he was sitting next to a relatively experienced PD. Why would the PD's office let this go?

The answer is kind of interesting. He wasn't playing for anything. Apparently the Mexican was in county leading up to trial. I guess he couldn't get bonded out. If the PD got him off (and he could have if he was more prepared), he would have been let out there. If the Mexican was found guilty (and I am assuming he was, I didn't see the verdict but its likely), no judge would have sentenced him to anything more than his backtime for a small offense like lewdness. So he would have gotten out anyway, the only difference being that if found guilty, he would have a misdemeanor on his record (which wouldn t matter since he couldn't be deported for a misdemeanor). The moral of the story is this is maybe the one rare situation where competent representation is irrelevant.

Mid march update

So Saturday was probably my best day since the Superbowl. I hit USC(+1), CAL(+16.5), Cuse(-1), and UNC(+1), actually with considerable margins. Ill tell you what, USC looks nasty. Stanford is a good team, Lopez is a good big man, but those USC guards can shoot. I would love to see USC v Duke in the tourney and take the USC ML.

I have SAS(+2) against the Suns this afternoon. I lost a huge parlay earlier in the week with the Suns coming up way short against the Nuggets, and have bet against them and won every game since. Hopefully more of the same continues. I might consider an under on DET/CHI tonight but Im not too thrilled about any of the lines.

Maryland (+1.5) is prob a good bet this afternoon as their backs are against the wall like Boheims was yesterday.

Wire predictions:
1) Marlo gets out on bail, Cheese takes a shot at him, fails, and then Michael runs up on him at the end out of coincidence

2) McNulty's shit gets turned over to the Feds and the Feds/Governor come down on Carcetti and McNulty with a fury. Either way McNulty will hang.

3) Templeton gets what he doesn't deserve. No happy ending there

We'll see.